ARCHIVED FORECAST - All forecasts expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
Monday November 19th, 2018
Posted by CNFAIC Staff on 11/19/18 at 7:00 am.
The Bottom Line
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A current avalanche advisory has not been issued.

The CNFAIC will be issuing  intermittent snow and avalanche updates  as conditions warrant.  Daily avalanche forecasts were planned to begin on Thanksgiving weekend  – but at this point we are in wait-and-see mode until we get more snow.   Have a wonderful Thanksgiving Holiday! #playsafe

                                                             Monday November 19th Update:  

The warm, wet, and sometimes windy weather that started over the weekend continued through today. Temperatures were close to 40F at Turnagain Pass and it was raining on and off throughout the day. The photos from today paint a pretty clear picture of what is left of the October snow. Looking ahead for the holiday week, scattered showers continue into Wednesday and then temperatures cool off a bit as colder air moves over the area. Some sunshine and more seasonable temperatures are in store for the holiday and Friday. What will happen over the weekend is where much of the uncertainty lies. Will the colder air stay or get pushed out by a warm air and a low pressure system? Stay tuned! If you do venture out this week check out the most recent observation from Tincan and be mindful on higher elevation slopes that may have a more complex snowpack.

Be on the lookout for these red flag warnings:

  1. Recent avalanches (24-48 hrs)
  2. Cracks in the snow that shoot out from you
  3. Whumpfing (collapsing) of the snowpack
  4. Rapid changes in weather (snow/rain/wind/temperature)

Please send us your snow/avalanche reports so we can post them on our observation page. Simply click ‘submit observation’ under the Observation tab above. This is a huge benefit for the community and the forecasters.  Thank you to all those who have  submitted  already!


 West aspect of Eddies November 19, 2018,   photo by Heather Thamm

 Snowpit in Hippy Bowl, November 18, 2018 photo Andy Moderow

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Special Announcements


Wednesday, Nov 21st:  Snowmachine throwback film fundraiser –  “2 Stroke Cold Smoke”!

7 – 10pm, 49th State Brewing Co Anchorage. Kick off the riding season, connect with CNFAIC and learn about snowmachine specific avalanche awareness/course opportunities with a ‘throwback film’ night!!    

$20 tickets are available  HERE  and at  Alaska Mining and Diving Supplies,  A2D Motorsports and  Anchorage Yamaha Polaris  

Check out the promo video HERE.You don’t want to miss this!

Avalanche Problem 1
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Want to make the most of your social media connection to CNFAIC?

  • We try to post relevant posts and photos on a regular basis. We also post our conditions updates and daily avalanche advisories on Facebook. Please Like and Follow Friends of the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center. Tell your friends… or invite them to Like the page! To make sure we show up in your daily feed click See First on the Friends of the CNFAIC Facebook page under Following.

  • Follow @chugachavy on Instagram and tag us in your posts out in the mountains. Your day of riding or skiing can tell us a lot about avalanche conditions – even posts that don’t show avalanches. When you tag @chugachavy it’s a great way to get information to us, especially if you have a great photo! We will always ask your permission if we want share your photo in the advisory or repost. #playsafe #snowtosealevel #hopeforsnow #knowbeforeyougo
  • Subcribe to the ChugachAvalanche Youtube channel: We try to post quick videos from the field all winter long. Right now all of the presentations from the 2018 Southcentral Alaska Avalanche Workshop are uploaded there. 


Mountain Weather

For weather information during these updates, see:

CNFAIC Weather Page

NWS Mountain Recreation Forecast