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Turnagain Area Avalanche Advisory
Wednesday, February 24th 2010 6:28 am by CNFAIC Staff
ARCHIVED ADVISORY - All advisories expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
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BROUGHT TO YOU BY
The Bottom Line
Good morning backcountry travelers this is Matt Murphy with the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center on Wednesday February 24th at 7 am. This will serve as a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas).


WEATHER ROUNDUP
-The winds have been and are currently light at all ridge top weather stations
-The current radars are mostly clear except for some very light precip moving west to east over the Kenai Penninsula
-In the last 24 hours (5am-5am), the snotel sites recorded 0 inches of water at Turnagain Pass, 0 inches at Grandview, and 0 at Summit Creek. The total snowpack has settled 1-2 since yesterday
-Temps are about the same this morning compared to yesterday. Temps range from 33 degrees F at sea-level and 24 degrees F at 3800


AVALANCHE DISCUSSION
Todays avalanche danger will decrease to LOW with pockets of MODERATE due to adequate time since the last major avalanche cycle and the insignificant weather forecast.

The pockets of MODERATE where heightened avalanche awareness is advised are:

-Cornices
We received a report of a close call that happened on Monday 2/22/2010 on the cornice above Zero Bowl (No Name Bowl) at the top of the snowmachine up-track on Seattle Ridge. A snowmachiner accidently triggered a chunk of cornice that fractured underneath the ski of his snowmachine. We took a closer look at the cornices along Seattle Ridge yesterday 2/23/2010 from 3000 in Warm-Up Bowl to 2400 in Main Bowl near Widowmaker. We found: several cornice failures, cracks at the roots of cornices that are difficult to see but easy and dangerous to fall into, sagging cornices, and generally much larger cornices than we have seen all year. Be especially careful along ridges with cornices today.

-Glide Cracks
Glide cracks are those crevasse like features in the snow that open up all the way to the ground. The snowpack is starting to pull away from the ground in many locations creating these glide cracks. Glide cracks are very difficult to predict. Sometimes they avalanche when it is cold, sometimes when it is warm, sometimes when it rains, sometimes when it snows. The point is that we are having an active glide crack cycle right now. At least one glide crack avalanche was observed yesterday 2/23/2010 below 2000 on Center Ridge. When glide cracks avalanche, they fail all the way to the ground. We also observed a dirty pile of debris on a northern aspect on Tincan Ridge (beyond Todds Run). We were not able to see the origin of that dirty pile, but there is a good chance that it was a glide crack avalanche as well. Avoid traveling underneath or anywhere near glide cracks especially during times that they are actively moving like they are right now.

Glide cracks and cornices are total wild cards. Both of these features are very difficult to predict. Since we are seeing recent activity with both of these features right now, this is one of those times to be extra careful anywhere near these feature. Avoid traveling underneath, along the side, or above, or anywhere near these features.

WEATHER FORECAST (National Weather Service)
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
500 AM AKST WED FEB 24 2010
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S...
COLDEST INLAND. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.

Temperature / Precipitation

SEWARD 37 28 35 / 20 0 0
GIRDWOOD 37 25 34 / 0 0 30

Short Term Weather Model Forecasts (NAM, WRF, GFS) for the Kenai Mountains near Turnagain Pass
Sea-level: temps are forecasted between 25-37 and between 0.0-0.1 of water forecasted 3000: temps are forecasted in the range of 23-32 degrees F with winds 5 mph
6000: temps are forecasted in the range of 23-32 degrees F with winds 5-10 mph

WEATHER STATION SUMMARY for last 24 hours at TURNAGAIN PASS
3800-Sunburst Wx Station
Current Temp: 24 (same as yesterday)
Winds: currently averaging light at 3mph with light gusts up to 4mph
In last 24 hours winds averaged light 1-11mph with light gusts up to 16mph

2600-Seattle Ridge Wx Station
Winds: currently averaging light at 2mph with light gusts to 4mph
In last 24 hours winds averaged light 2-15mph with a moderate gust of 25mph

1800-Center Ridge Wx Station
Current Temp: 30 degrees (2 degrees colder than yesterday)
Precip: 0 new water, 0 new snow, 2 of total snowpack settlement/melting for total snowpack depth of 89

Thanks for checking todays avalanche advisory. The next one will be posted tomorrow Thursday February 25th.

 Show the Complete North American Avalanche Danger Scale
1 Low Alpine / Above 2,500' Travel Advice: Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
1 Low Treeline / 1,000'-2,500' Travel Advice: Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
1 Low Below Treeline / Below 1,000' Travel Advice: Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas).

Winter snowmachine use open/closed status and riding conditions updates

Riding status is not associated with avalanche danger. An area will be open to motorized use in accordance to the Forest Management Plan when snow coverage is adequate to protect underlying vegetation. Backcountry hazards including avalanche hazard are always present regardless of the open status of motorized use areas.

(Updated: Jan 13, 2019 )

AREA STATUS WEATHER AND RIDING CONDITIONS
Glacier District
Johnson Pass: Open
Placer River: Open
Skookum Drainage: Open
Turnagain Pass: Open
Twentymile: ClosedClosed. Forest Service is monitoring conditions.
Seward District
Carter Lake: Open
Lost Lake Trail: OpenPlease stay on trail to avoid resource damage through forested areas.
Primrose Trail: OpenPlease stay on trail to avoid resource damage through forested areas.
Resurrection Pass Trail: ClosedClosed for the 2018/19 season. Next season will be open to motorized use.
Snug Harbor: Open
South Fork Snow River Corridor: Open
Summit Lake: Open

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The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory provided by the Chugach National Forest, in partnership with Friends of the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center.


USFS SNOW AND AVALANCHE HOTLINE (907) 754-2369
If you have comments or questions regarding CNFAIC operations or winter recreation management, please email staff@chugachavalanche.org
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